Tuesday, April 17, 2012

AAPL Sell Signals!


AAPL, Apple Inc, has got sell signals.

AAPL has broken its uptrend and has broken the support levels around 600-617. Now we are at the very important support level at 578. If AAPL break that level the stock looks like it could go pretty far on the downside.

AAPL also has important support levels around 548, 516, 487 and 428. I can´t rule out that AAPL may test the 428 support level sooner or later.

I will short AAPL on any upward move. Stop loss if close over 617.

Monday, April 16, 2012

S&P 500 Sell Signals


S & P 500 has received sell signals and is now in a downtrend. I will use rebounds to go short in the market.

S & P 500 has recently slipped from its previous upward trend. Instead, the S & P 500received lot of sell signals and other signs of weakness. Last week also resulted in a decline of 2% for the S & P 500.

So far this year, however, the S & P 500 has risen by about 9%. S & P 500 has also now entered a more volatile phase than earlier in the winter. This tendency for more volatility will probably be strengthened as we come into an intensive companies reporting period.

The long trend for the S & P 500, defined as the slope of the 200-day average curve is slightly upward. The short-term trend is, however, since last week downward.

Stochastic indicator shows that the market is oversold. The market may be oversold for a long time if it got into a strong trend so it's not a buy signal in itself. This indicates, however, that the S & P 500 is now relatively easy to get up recoil. These smaller gains can then for example be used to enter short positions at more favorable levels than otherwise.

S & P 500 got sell signals when the index broke an uptrend line that gave support at about 1400 and when the index went below the support levels around 1387 and 1378. Previously, the S & P 500 also had a negative divergence in the Stochastic indicator that strengthen the signal value of these sell signals.

We are now aiming for that S & P 500 sooner or later should test the support level at about 1340 and probably also the one at 1295.

Should the S & P 500 now would bounce upwards the index has resistance at about 1378, 1387 and about 1422. The psychological level of 1400 could also be considered as a resistance level.

For the S & P 500 to get some stronger buy signal in this mode, the index have to close above the resistance level at 1 422.

Then the S & P 500 is likely to be more volatile and swing a lot of up and down, open it up for too many good trading opportunities for the active investor.

If you trade with short-term strategies, it may therefore be a good idea to take home profits from time to time on short positions. Then you can go short again on upward recoils in the market.

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

COMP Several Sell Signals!



NASDAQ Composite Index, COMP, has broken both the support level at 3037 and the one at 3000. Before that, the index also broke the uptrend line. So COMP has now had three sell signals. It is also gone under my stop levels for all long positions.

I am now short in the market. I will now use any upward move to go even further short on COMP. My first target will be the support area around 2890-2900, and my second target will be the support level at 2750. Stop loss if COMP closes above 3060.


Stochastic has shown negativ divergence compared to COMP. That is a sign of weakness upon the uptrend. Stochastic is now in an oversold area, but it can remain oversold for a longer time if the market is in a strong downward trend.

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

COMP In Upward Trend. Monitoring 3037..


NASDAQ Composite Index, COMP, is in an upward trend. When COMP broke above the resistance level at 3000 it got a buysignal. I have a stop loss for my long positons if COMP closes under 3000. If it closes below 3037 will be the first sell signal. So that is also a good stop loss level. I will in a few days move up my stop to that level. If COMP gets a sell signal, the market can be also volatile. VIX index is now at very low levels. That suggests that most investors are unprepared for large declines.

Thursday, March 8, 2012

AAPL - Apple Is Near To Get A Sell Signal



Apple sees clearly weaker in the charts nowadays. Apple has slipped from its upward trend and are now at risk to get a sell signal if it falls below support at about 513. Stochastic and MACD indicates that the upward trend has weakened considerably. If Apple breaks the 513 support level the next level of support is at around 486. But if Apple gets the sell signal there is a high risk that the stock is also going to test the strong level of support down at about 430.

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

COMP - Sell Signal!



COMP broke the 2940 support and gave a sellsignal. We are still over the 2888 supportlevel but I have closed all of my long positions. Now I am a little short in the market and will go even more short if COMP comes closer to 2940. 2940 is now a resistance level. Stop loss if COMP closes above 3000.



Monday, March 5, 2012

COMP in Uptrend. But Watch Out if Below 2 940!


We have had several buy signals in the NASDAQ Composite Index, COMP, in recent months. Now COMP have given several warning signs that the uptrend weakens. We have a negative divergence in the stochastic indicator, and a sell signal in the MACD. If COMP closes below 2940, we get a sell signal that I will take very seriously.